I publish my blog posts on Substack. Subscribe here to get them in your inbox.
- Did unequal inflation undo the post-pandemic wage compression?
- A recording from Arin Dube and Mike Konczal's live video
- Two months of high inflation has wiped out real wage gains
- Here’s What Happened to their Restaurant and Retail Jobs.
- A few of years back, David Autor, Annie McGrew and I discovered something out of character for the modern U.S.
- We want more competition, and sometimes that may entail more concentration
- Are wages still growing? And what about wage compression?
- What is the Own-Wage Elasticity (OWE)?
- The journey towards racial equity in the labor market has been long and complex, with the civil rights movement of the 1960s marking a pivotal moment of promise for greater equity.
- Using within-person wage comparisons to measure wage growth
Older blogposts
Posts from my earlier WordPress blog (2013–2021), before I moved to Substack.
- “Early withdrawal of pandemic UI: impact on job finding in July using Current Population Survey” — August 20, 2021. Follow-up evidence on job finding rates in states that ended pandemic UI benefits early.
- “Early impacts of the expiration of pandemic unemployment insurance programs” — July 18, 2021. First look at the labor-market effects of states ending pandemic UI ahead of schedule.
- “Puerto Rico’s predicaments: Is its minimum wage the culprit?” with Ben Zipperer — August 14, 2015. Was the federal minimum wage really behind Puerto Rico’s debt and employment crisis? (Crossposted at WCEG.)
- “The envelope (theorem) please: Profits, efficiency wages, and monopsony” — June 10, 2015. On why Wal-Mart could profit from raising wages — what efficiency wages and monopsony imply for the firm’s first-order conditions.
- “Public Assistance, Private Subsidies and Low Wage Jobs” — April 19, 2015. On the UC Berkeley Labor Center report showing how low-wage employers shift costs onto the public safety net.
- “Casual versus Causal Inference: Time Series Edition” — January 22, 2014. Why time-series approaches to the minimum wage fell out of favor — and why parts of the econoblogosphere keep relearning the lesson.
- “The Poverty of Minimum Wage ‘Facts’” — January 22, 2014. A reply to Tyler Cowen on the share of minimum-wage workers in poor families and the relevant counterfactual.
- “Separating signal from noise: a review of 12 major studies on minimum wages and poverty” — January 14, 2014. A summary of the key U.S. studies on minimum wages and poverty, drawn from Section 2 of Minimum Wages and the Distribution of Family Incomes.
- “The Minimum We Can Do” — December 1, 2013. My New York Times Great Divide series op-ed on the minimum wage, crossposted to the blog.
- “Minimum Wages and Job Growth: a Statistical Artifact” — October 4, 2013. Why the Meer–West finding of negative effects of minimum wages on employment growth is more likely a statistical artifact than a real economic relationship.
- “Broken Job Ladders and the Great Recession: Fast Food Edition” — September 10, 2013. On how the Great Recession blocked the usual paths workers take from low-wage into better jobs.
- “Windows into the past and the future” — June 4, 2013. Guest post at Rortybomb on the timing of growth around episodes of high debt and what it implies for causality.
- “Growth in a Time Before Debt” — June 3, 2013. Guest post at Rortybomb on the Reinhart–Rogoff debt-and-growth debate, after the Herndon–Ash–Pollin correction.